In statistical thermodynamics we can prove that the evolution of a system minimises some potential with units of energy (e.g. energy). This can be done purely statistically, by using the first two laws of thermodynamics, and showing that the state where the appropriate potential is minimised is the most likely one. Therefore, minimisation of energy is just an argument about entropy.
Is there a similar (or any other) proof of the principle of least or stationary action? I have seen it referred to as an axiom, but is there at least a possibility that there exists an underlying theory from which it can be derived? Can it be shown that systems where action is stationary are the most likely ones? Also, it is interesting that the Lagrangian has units of energy as well.
Edit: To clarify on the first paragraph. I was referring to quasistatic systems that satisfy a sepcific set of conditions. Energy is minimised in the stable state of an isolated system (where entropy, volume, and the number of particles is conserved). For a system where the temperature, pressure, and the number of particles are constant, the Gibbs free energy is minimised etc.