Say for simplicity we are in a two state system with a Hamiltonian:
$$H=H_0+V(t)$$
Where $H_0$ is: $$\begin{pmatrix} \epsilon_0&0\\ 0&\epsilon_1 \end{pmatrix}$$ While $V(t)$ is: $$\begin{pmatrix} 0&V_{01}(t)\\ V_{10}(t)&0 \end{pmatrix}$$ We can then write out state kets as: $$|\psi\rangle=c_0(t)|0\rangle+c_1(t)|1\rangle$$ And then Sakurai tells us that these coefficients can be found to first order to be: $$c_n(t)=\langle n|U_I(t,t_0)|i\rangle$$ $$c_n^{(1)}(t)=\delta_{ni}-\frac{i}{\hbar}\int_{t_0}^te^{i\omega_{ni}t}V_{ni}(t)d{t}$$ Where: $$\omega_{ni}=\frac{E_n-E_i}{\hbar}$$ And then the probability of transitions form $|0\rangle$ to $|1\rangle$ is given by: $$P(i\rightarrow n)\approx|c_n^{(1)}|^2$$ However, what if I want to calculate the probability that it stays in the state $|0\rangle$? That would reduce to: $$c_0(t)=\langle 0|U_I|0\rangle$$ $$c_0(t)=1-\frac{i}{\hbar}\int_{t_0}^te^{i\omega_{10}t}V_{00}(t)$$ $$= 1$$ $$\Rightarrow P(0\rightarrow 0)= 1$$ Which seems like a contradiction as I feel like it should be $1-|c_1|^2$, so what is happening here? Why do we get what probability transistion and then an entirely different probability for no transition?