In my opinion the moon's orbit shouldn't change, because an orbiting body is a free falling object and the trajectory of a free falling object is not affected by its mass (because the inertial mass and the gravitational mass are the same. Of course the mass affects the initial energy needed to put the object in orbit).
But...
What about the shift of the center mass? How can it move without the trajectory of the orbiting body being affected? And what happens if we change the mass of the center body? If the sun disappears (mass = 0) planets will stop orbiting it and they will escape tangentially. But this means that orbits are affected by the mass of the center object, which seems to contradict what I said in the first paragraph. Why?