I'm unsure how to interpret the "linearly extrapolated" retarded position of gravity, or electromagnetic field as well. I've read up on as many explanations of this as possible and am still confused. So, I've set up this thought experiment and would appreciate a straightforward answer and explanation if possible.
In the below diagram, an Observer is living on the Blue circle. The observer is using a large mass on an extremely well calibrated scale and observing the difference in measured weight as large objects flies "overhead". (Such as how the moon affects our weight as it passes overhead)
In this diagram, the X axis represents Distance (space) and the Y axis represents Time.
The Black circle and the Green Circle are two objects that are traveling in space.
The SOLID black objects represents the linearly extrapolated path of the black circle. However, a massive off-gassing event causes the actual path of black object to follow the path of the hollow black circle. This can't be observed by the Blue Circle at the time of his measurements, since the speed of light propagates at 45 degrees in this diagram along the orange line A.
In the first scenario, the Blue Circle is moving along path GREEN ARROW, and regards the green grid as his time and distance.
In the second scenario, the Blue Circle is moving along path RED ARROW, and regards the red grid as his time and distance.
If the observer uses newton's formula for gravity, lacking knowledge of general relativity, then:
Which "distance" to the black object when plugged into Newtown's formula will most closely match what he calculates in both scenarios?
A, B1, B2, C1, C2?
Is it B1 and C1 (The linear extrapolated position) for the observer in the scenarios, the actual position (B2 and C2) of the object, or the retarded position of A?