Disclaimer: This answer doesn't answer your question about convection (which may explain the down vote). Nevertheless, I hope it can help you solve your problem about heat loss. If the method gets you close to your actual heat loss, you may be able to side-step convection. But first, try to compute the heat loss by estimating a convection rate in the range provided by Frisbee's comment.
Convection is difficult to model. It depends on convection cells which can be caused by random non-uniformities in the water and air.
An alternative is to calculate heat loss through (1) evaporation at the water/air interface, and (2) radiation at the glass/air interface.
You'll need to compare the rate of loss with the rate of heat conduction through the bottom of the glass container, in order to determine if heat coming through the bottom is being radiated and vaporized away rapidly enough to explain the temperature difference between hot plate and water.
In other words, by how much does the rate of heat going out exceed the rate of heat coming in?
First, you need to know the rate of Heat conduction from hot plate through the glass to the water:
Q / t = k * A * (T1 - T2) / d
Q is quantity of heat units
t is unit time
k is thermal conductivity of the glass trough (Here is a link to a table of thermal conductivity for various materials, including glass.)
A is area of the bottom of the trough
T1 is temperature of the hot plate surface
T2 is temperature inside the glass at bottom of the trough
d is thickness of the glass
Now, you can compute the rate of heat loss:
(1) Radiation: Calculate thermal radiation from the sides of the trough to the ambient air by using the Stefan-Boltzmann law.
(2) Evaporation: As heat is extracted from water in the trough by the phase change from liquid to vapor, you lose heat by evaporation, . Here is a link to a calculator for heat loss through vaporization.
Add the rate of heat loss from vaporization and radiation. Subtract that from the rate of thermal conductivity through the glass bottom, and see if it explains the temperature difference.
Convection carries heat through the water, and once it leaves the surface, through the air. But you may be able to explain much of the heat loss without quantifying convection.