I believe this can be attributed to the central limit theorem, which states that a large number of samples from a population with a well-defined variance will follow a gaussian distribution. The key idea is that because of quantum mechanics, we must treat both position and momentum as random variables; the uncertainty principle gives us a relation between the variance of the two quantities.
We cannot talk about the "formula for position" per se; however we can derive a deterministic formula for the wavefunction, which represents the probability density for these random variables. The exact form of the wavefunction is dependent on the problem, but can (in principle) generally be obtained from the Schrödinger equation.
Wikipedia has a good writeup for the free particle. The Hamiltonian for a free particle with fixed momentum $\mathbf{p}$ is $\mathcal{H} = \mathbf{p}^2/2m$ (the potential is zero). Eigenstates of this Hamiltonian are plane-waves in position-space (that is, their wavefunctions oscillate throughout space and time):
$$
\psi(\mathbf{x}, t) = Ae^{i(\mathbf{x}\cdot\mathbf{p}-Et)/\hbar}
$$
that means that the probability distribution is simply:
$$
\left|\psi(\mathbf{x},t)\right|^2 = \left|A\right|^2
$$
which is a constant independent of position $\mathbf{x}$. Note that this wavefunction cannot be renormalized to unity, but the takeaway is that the particle is equally likely to be anywhere. This is consistent with the uncertainty princple: since we specified $\mathbf{p}$ exactly ($\sigma_p=0$), the uncertainty in position is infinite.
For more complex systems, the Hamiltonian is not always exactly known; this is often the case in multi-particle systems, such as atoms. In still other cases, the Hamiltonian is known but cannot be solved analytically.