How to determine if an element undergoes electron or positron emission?
This is actually a false choice!
For example 40K decays in three ways:
- $\beta^-$ 89.28% (emits $e^- + \bar{\nu}$)
- $\beta^+$ 0.001% (emits $e^+ + \nu$)
- EC 10.72% (captures an atomic electron, emits $\nu$ plus usually some accompanying atomic photons)
So nuclear wallet cards while incredibly handy aren't the last word in nuclear physics.
update!: @PM2Ring's comment allerts us of even more nuclear ambivalency or creativity:
Some isotopes can do both + and - beta decay, eg Cu-64. Also see K-40
From Wikipedia's Potassium-40:
Potassium-40 is a rare example of an isotope that undergoes both types of beta decay. In about 89.28% of events, it decays to calcium-40 (40Ca) with emission of a beta particle (β−, an electron) with a maximum energy of 1.31 MeV and an antineutrino. In about 10.72% of events, it decays to argon-40 (40Ar) by electron capture (EC), with the emission of a neutrino and then a 1.460 MeV gamma ray. The radioactive decay of this particular isotope explains the large abundance of argon (nearly 1%) in the Earth's atmosphere, as well as prevalence of 40Ar over other isotopes. Very rarely (0.001% of events), it decays to 40Ar by emitting a positron (β+) and a neutrino
It's hard to get the branching ratios exactly right because the decay by three different modes, some radiative, some to the ground state require different techniques to measure, and their efficiencies are difficult to normalize accurately.
Nonetheless here's a decay diagram from Hyperphysics that cites some historic work. Similar can be found in The K/Ar dating method : principle, analytical techniques, and application to Holocene volcanic eruptions in Southern Italy:
Even though the decay of 40K is somewhat complex with the decay to 40Ca and three pathways to 40Ar, Dalrymple and Lanphere1 point out that potassium-argon dating was being used to address significant geological problems by the mid 1950's. The energy-level diagram below is based on data accumulated by McDougall and Harrison2.
1Dalrymple, G. Brent and Lanphere, Marvin A., Potassium-Argon Dating, W.H. Freeman, 1969.
2.McDougall, Ian and Harrison, T. Mark, Geochronology and Thermochronology by the 40Ar/39Ar Method, 2nd Ed., Oxford, 1999.