This is a follow-up question (first one here). I am aimed to work out $V(\phi) = -\lambda \frac{\phi^3}{3!}$ theory in detail to understand how Feynman rules can be derived from the functional integral
\begin{equation*} Z[J] := \int d[\phi] e^{iS[\phi] + i\int d^d x J(x) \phi(x)} \tag{1} \end{equation*}
I performed a completely analogous computation to that of Jeanbaptiste Roux, up to second order in perturbation theory, and obtained
\begin{align*} &\exp\left(\frac{i}{2}\int d^d x \int d^d y \frac{\delta}{\delta \phi(x)}\Delta_F(x-y) \frac{\delta}{\delta \phi(y)}\right)\times \exp\left(i \int d^d z \left( -\frac{\lambda}{3!}\phi^3+J\phi \right)\right)\Big|_{\phi=0} \\ &=1+\frac{i}{2}\times 0+\frac{i}{2}\int d^d x \int d^d y\,(i(J(x))\Delta_F(x-y)(iJ(y)) \\ &+ \frac{(i)^2}{4}\int d^d x \int d^d y \int d^d t \int d^d \xi\,(iJ(x))\Delta_F(x-y)(iJ(y)) (iJ(t))\Delta_F(t-\xi)(iJ(\xi)) + \mathcal{O}(\Delta_F^3) \end{align*}
So it seems to me that the perturbative expansion is determined by the number of propagators!
So, up to first order, we encounter one propagator and $2$ external legs $iJ$
Up to second order we encounter two propagators and $4$ external legs $iJ$
I've just learned that the source $J$ is represented by a vertex with one outgoing line i.e.
With this information, I was trying to understand why, for instance, the 2-point correlation function $\langle \phi(x_1) \phi(x_2) \rangle$ has the following contributions up to second order
Why should we draw a bubble like shown above? If I am not mistaken, we should have two external legs due to having two propagators and $4$ vertices due to having $4$ sources. However, I only see two vertices here... what am I missing?
PS: Please note this is not a homework question. I am studying Osborn notes, section 2.2. Interacting Scalar Field Theories, and I want to understand how he constructed the Feynman rules (page 23) via working out the simplest example I could find: $\phi^3$ theory
EDIT 0
Let me go slowly here. I will only focus on second order terms. As stated in the comments, we should get $\propto \int \mathrm{d}^4 z \int \mathrm{d}^4 w J(x) \Delta_F(x-z) \Delta_F^2(z-w) \Delta_F(w-y) J(y)$
This is what I have done so far
\begin{align*} &\exp\left(\frac{i}{2}\int d^d x \int d^d y \frac{\delta}{\delta \phi(x)}\Delta_F(x-y) \frac{\delta}{\delta \phi(y)}\right) \exp\left(i \int d^d t \left( -\frac{\lambda}{3!}\phi^3+J\phi \right)\right)\Big|_{\phi=0} \\ &=\left[\cdots +\frac{(i)^2}{4}\int d^{2d} z \int d^{2d} w \left(\frac{\delta}{\delta \phi(z)}\right)^2\Delta_F^2(z-w) \left(\frac{\delta}{\delta \phi(w)}\right)^2+\cdots \right]\left.e^{i \int d^d t \left( -\frac{\lambda}{3!}\phi^3+J\phi \right)}\right|_{\phi=0} \\ &=\left[1+\frac{(i)^2}{4}\int d^{2d} z\int d^{2d} w \left(\frac{\delta}{\delta\phi(z)}\right)^2\Delta_F^2(z-w)\left(\frac{\delta}{\delta\phi(w)}\right)\left( -\frac{\lambda}{2}i\phi^2(w)+iJ(w)\right) +\cdots\right] \\ &\times \left.e^{i \int d^d t \left( -\frac{\lambda}{3!}\phi^3+J\phi \right)}\right|_{\phi=0} \end{align*}
Is this OK so far?