# Is there any simple way to predict beta decay half lives?

## Question

For nuclides that decay by alpha emission, the Geiger-Nuttall law gives a simple and reasonably accurate estimate of the half-life. Essentially, one can model the alpha particle as a particle in a "box" – the nucleus – and calculate the probability of tunneling out of the box using basic quantum mechanics. The result is that the half-life depends exponentially on the decay energy:

$$\ln \lambda \approx a_0 - a_1 \frac{Z}{\sqrt{E}}$$

where $$\lambda$$ is the half-life, $$Z$$ is the atomic number, and $$E$$ is the decay energy.

Is there any similar simple relationship for beta decay?

Beta decay half-lives appear to be very poorly correlated with:

• Decay energy. Rhenium-187 and lutetium-176 have similar half-lives (about 40 billion years), but lutetium-176 has a decay energy of 1.2 MeV while rhenium-187 has a decay energy of just 2.6 keV.
• Atomic number or number of neutrons. Cadmium-113 has a half-life of more than 8 quadrillion years, while cadmium-115 has a half-life of just 2 days – even though isotopes 112, 114, and 116 are all stable or have extremely long half-lives.
• Nuclear shell closure. Even though potassium-40 decays to calcium-40, which has magic numbers of both protons and neutrons, it has a half-life of over a billion years. Meanwhile, potassium-42 has a half-life of only 12 hours.

In short, beta decay half-lives vary widely, and I don't see any obvious rules to help understand why. Is there any way of explaining these results without a very complex calculation?

## Review of related Physics.SE questions

That leaves the phase space available to the products as the thing that almost solely determined the lifetime.

In short the phase space available to the interaction depends to a large degree on the total energy and to a much smaller degree on the mass of the recoiling remnant nucleus.

However, while the theoretical argument that the phase space should depend strongly on the total energy seems plausible, it doesn't seem to match experimental results very well. As I noted above, nuclei with similar half-lives often have completely different decay energies, and vice versa.

The most upvoted answer to Can we predict the half-lives of radioactive isotopes from theory? mentions a

quantity "$$ft$$" which convolves the half-life of the decay with the electrical interaction between the emitted electron and the positively-charged daughter nucleus.

It is supposed to vary within a narrow range. However, I don't understand this description; also, I looked up some tables of $$ft$$ values and found that $$ft$$ actually varies by many orders of magnitude between different nuclei. For example, this textbook chapter (chapter 8 from Modern Nuclear Chemistry by Loveland, Morrissey, and Seaborg) cites $$\log(ft)$$ values ranging from $$-0.27$$ to $$+7.36$$.