A three levels system has the hamiltonian $$\mathcal{H}=\begin{pmatrix}E_0+\alpha&&\\&E_0&i\beta\\&-i\beta&E_0\end{pmatrix},$$ with $\alpha,\beta\in\mathbb{R}$, $\alpha>\beta>0$.
So, the eigenvalues are $E_0+\alpha$, $E_0 +\beta$, $E_0 -\beta$, eigenvectors are $$\begin{pmatrix}1\\0\\0\end{pmatrix}, \,\frac{1}{\sqrt2}\begin{pmatrix}0\\-i\\1\end{pmatrix}, \,\frac{1}{\sqrt2}\begin{pmatrix}0\\i\\1\end{pmatrix}\equiv\left|E_{\rm{min}}\right\rangle.$$
At $t=0$, suppose the system is in the state of minimun energy, $\left|E_{\rm{min}}\right\rangle$, and a physical quantity $\hat{\Gamma}$ - described by the operator $\Gamma$ - is measured; $\Gamma$ is represented by $$\Gamma=\begin{pmatrix}&&\gamma\\&\gamma&\\\gamma&&\end{pmatrix}.$$
The eigenvalues are $+\gamma$ (2-fold degenerate) and $-\gamma$; eigenvectors are $$\left|1\right\rangle\equiv\frac{1}{\sqrt2}\begin{pmatrix}1\\0\\1\end{pmatrix}\, \rm{and} \,\left|2\right\rangle\equiv\begin{pmatrix}0\\1\\0\end{pmatrix}; \,\left|3\right\rangle\equiv\frac{1}{\sqrt2}\begin{pmatrix}1\\0\\-1\end{pmatrix}.$$
What's the probability of getting $-\gamma$ at $t>0$, if at $t=0$ the measurement we performed gave $+\gamma$?
How to evaluate this probability?
My attempt: this probability is given by $$\mathcal{P}_t\left(\hat{\Gamma}=-\gamma\right)=\left|\left\langle E_{\rm{min}}|1\right\rangle\left\langle3|1\right\rangle_t + \left\langle E_{\rm{min}}|2\right\rangle\left\langle3|2\right\rangle_t\right|^2 \,?$$