What numbers did Halley, Cook, et al. have? What was the strategy by which they calculated the AU?
2 Answers
Halley's method requires one to measure the timing of the beginning of the transit and the end of the transit; both pieces of data have to be measured at two places of the Earth's globe whose locations must be known.
The picture by Vermeer, Duckysmokton, Ilia shows that the two places on Earth have differing locations in two different directions (the differences in the distance from the Sun and Venus are too small to be measurable): one of them is parallel to the direction of the transit of Venus and will be reflected in the overall shift of the timing; the other component is transverse to it and it will actually shift the line along which Venus moves and crosses the Sun in the up/down direction i.e. it will make the duration of the transit longer.
Each of these pieces of data – overall shift in the timing arising from one coordinate's difference between the two terrestrial locations – and the difference between the length of the transit – due to the other coordinate – are in principle enough to determine the solar parallax. Because synchronization of clocks at very different locations was difficult centuries ago, I suppose that the latter – the difference between $\Delta t_1$ and $\Delta t_2$ – was probably more useful historically. But we're talking about O(10) minutes differences in both quantities.
The calculation of the parallax from $\Delta t_1$ and $\Delta t_2$ and their difference is a simple exercise in geometry but I want to avoid trigonometric functions here.
At any rate, Halley didn't live to see a proper measurement (the transit occurs about twice a century and the two events are clumped together with a 8-year break in between). The best he could get was 45 angular seconds for the parallax; the right answer is about 8.8 seconds. He knew that his result was very inaccurate. Note that the solar parallax is the angle at which the Earth's radius is seen from the Sun, i.e. the difference in the rays needed to observe the Sun from the Earth's center and/or a point on the Earth disk's surface.
When you convert 8.8 angular seconds to radians, i.e. multiply by $1/3,600\times \pi/180$, you get $4.3\times 10^{-5}$. Now, divide 6378 km by this small number to get about 150 million km for the AU.
Some orders-of-magnitude estimates for the numbers. Venus orbits at 0.7 AU so it's actually closer to the Earth than it is to the Sun during the transit. It means that a shift by 6,000 km up/down on the Earth's side corresponds to about 12,000 km up/down on the Sun's side. So the two horizontal lines crossing the Sun on the picture (places on the solar surface where Venus gets "projected") may be separated by about 12,000 km. Compare it with the solar radius near 700,000 km: you may see that we're shifting the horizontal lines by about 1% of the Sun's radius and the relative difference between $\Delta t_1$ and $\Delta t_2$ will be comparable to 1%, too. The last transit in 2004 took about 6 hours so the difference in the duration at various places is of order 10 minutes.
The 2012 transit of Venus on Tuesday night UTC will take over 6 hours, too; the timing and duration differs by about 7 minutes depending on the location, too.
If you've been dreaming about observing the transit of Venus, don't forget about Tuesday 22:49 night UTC; the following transits will occur in 2117 and 2125. There is a blog version of this answer, too.
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1$\begingroup$ Two remarks. First, Halley never actually measured distance to the Sun - he died before the next opportunity arose; second, the method described in this answer is not the method proposed by Halley (and could not be made to work without a measurement of the transit track and solar oblateness simply not possible in Halley's day). Halley's method takes advantage of Earth's diurnal rotation, which leads an observer to have different perspectives on Venus at ingress and egress. The corresponding effect on transit duration is what Halley proposed to determine. $\endgroup$– lsfinnCommented Nov 3, 2019 at 20:36
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$\begingroup$ Thanks for your clarifications - sadly, I am not capable of verifying your statements now so I upvoted you for the work. $\endgroup$ Commented Nov 4, 2019 at 7:20
This post details the steps of a basic determination of the solar parallax from a Venus transit. References are:
1) Blatter, "Venustransit 2004" (pdf), which has a nice derivation
2) The 2004 Transit of Venus, which works through a simple hypothetical example constructed from the 2004 transit data.
Throughout, angles are variously measured in radians, degrees, arc-minutes, and arc-seconds, as convenient:
- 1 degree = $\pi$/180=0.0175 radians = 60 arc-minutes = 3,600 arc-seconds.
The steps (A-H):
A) Observations are made of the transit from widely separated positions on the earth. Reference 2 creates a simple case using Cairo (lat 30N, long. 32E) and Durban (lat 30S, long, 31E), which form a north-south baseline of $0.917 R_E$, where $R_E$ is the earth radius of 6,371 km.
(Legal disclaimer: Warning! Do not not try this at home without protection! Gazing directly at the sun will permanently damage your eyes!)
B) Determine the angular separation of the two (almost overlapping) transit tracks (chords on the solar disk) from the transit data. There are various methods, all depending crucially on the transit durations. Reference 1 uses right triangle constructions while Reference 2 uses the included half-angle $\theta$ of the chord:
From this geometry, Reference 2 calculates the track separation $\Delta \beta$ (they call it $D$, but I'm following the notation of Reference 1).
$$\Delta \beta = (R-r) \frac{sin^2 \theta}{cos \theta} \frac{\Delta T}{T}$$
where:
$\Delta \beta$ is the angular track separation, in the same units as $R-r$
$R$ is half the angular diameter of the sun (31.5/2=15.75 arc-minutes),
$r$ is half the angular diameter of Venus (1/2=0.5 arc-minute),
$\theta = 46.62$ degrees for the 2004 transit,
the average transit duration $T=19790.5$ s (5.5 hours), and
$\Delta T$ is the difference in transit times between the two locations, 529 s, just under 9 minutes.
With these parameters, the track separation is $\Delta \beta = 0.314$ minutes of arc (about 1/3 the apparent diameter of Venus), or 18.81 arc-seconds.
C) This track separation $\Delta \beta$ is not the solar parallax $\alpha_s$, instead it is the difference of the Venusian parallax $\alpha_v$ and $\alpha_s$. The geometry is depicted in the wonderful Figure 3.2 of Reference 1:
From this geometry:
For triangle ABV: $\alpha_v+(\epsilon_B+\beta_B)+(\epsilon_A-\beta_A)=180$ degrees (or $\pi$ radians)
For triangle ABO: $\alpha_s+\epsilon_B+\epsilon_A=180$
Substituting, one finds $\alpha_v-\alpha_s=\beta_A-\beta_B=\Delta \beta$
D) The solar and Venusian parallaxes are related by their relative distances from earth:
$$\alpha_s=\frac{b}{d_{es}}, \alpha_v=\frac{b}{d_{ev}} \text{ , so } \alpha_v=\alpha_s \frac{d_{es}}{d_{ev}}=\alpha_s \frac{d_{es}}{d_{es}-d_{vs}}$$
where
the two parallaxes $\alpha_s$ and $\alpha_v$ are now in radians
$b$ is the baseline established by the transit measurements at A and B (Cairo and Duran in the example of Reference 2, with the resulting $b=0.917 R_E = 5,843$ km).
$d_{es}$, $d_{ev}$, and $d_{vs}$ are the (unknown) distances from the earth to the sun, earth-to-venus, Venus-to-sun, respectively.
Substituting, one gets $\alpha_s=(d_{es}/d_{vs}-1) \Delta \beta$ (where now $\alpha_s$ is in whatever units $\Delta \beta$ is)
E) Kepler's third law (squares of the orbital periods are proportional to the cubes of the semi-major axes), allows us to determine $d_{vs}$ in terms of $d_{es}$. Since the Venusian orbital period is 0.616 year, $d_{vs}/d_{es}=0.616^{2/3}=0.724$ AU (astronomical units, 1AU = the earth's semi-major axis, or nominal $d_{es}$).
F) Finally, substituting into the equation for $\alpha_s$ in step D) gives $\alpha_s=$ (1.015/0.724-1)(18.81)=7.56 arc-seconds. (Per reference 2, the earth's distance from the sun at the time of the 2004 transit was 1.015 AU.)
G) The standard solar parallax $p_s$ is referred to a baseline of 1 earth-radius, versus the 0.917 earth-radius baseline used in the hypothetical measurement of Reference 2. Scaling, one finds $p_s=\alpha_s$/0.917=8.37 arc-seconds.
The accepted value of the solar parallax is 8.79 arc-seconds, so the example's error is about 5%.
H) Converting the calculated solar parallax to radians, 8.37 arc-seconds -> 40.58 micro-radians, one calculates $d_{es} =$ 1 AU = 6,371/40.58E-6 = 157.0 million km, also a 5% error from the accepted value of 149.5 million kilometers.