I've been reading Nassim Nicholas Taleb's book The Black Swan which largely concerns the uncertainty of social and economic systems (and the futility of predicting outcome); the Black Swan being the rare event.
But in one of the chapters Taleb talks about the motion of atoms and probabilities of the trajectories of atoms. He illustrates using a coffee cup saying that the most likely atomic trajectories are such that they all cancel one another and the cup remains motionless on the table. But he cites there is the very rare possibility that all the atoms in the cup move in the same direction at the same time - and the coffee cup jumps off the table.
I have a basic understanding of entropy and Maxwell's Demon, but question that if Taleb's cited event were to ever happen would there be enough momentum, energy to actually cause the cup to fly off the table? I know atoms can move very fast, but then they don't tend to move very far for very long.
Is Taleb's illustration possible?