You have 3 obvious weak points in the system.
- Where the (longer) arm is attached to the existing bracket
- Where the bracket attaches to the pole
- Where the pole is attached to the ground / base.
Notation I'll use:
- $W$ = weight of monitor
- $L$ = maximum arm length
- $=> M = WL$ = moment at point of pole attachement
- $x$ = distance between attachment points. E.g. width of bracket, width of base etc.
- $\sigma$ = yield stress of material
- $A$ = area
1 Arm - bracket
I'm going to assume you'll be able to make this bracket strong enough. If you need to check, you just need to balance moments: $M = x * \sigma * A_{bolts}$
2 Bracket attachment to pole
This is the most difficult calculation and I'm not sure if it's possible to solve analytically. It also depends critically on the details of the attachment bracket.
The moment in the pole is $M$. This is constant through the length of the pole (assuming pole is perpendicular to the arm) from the attachment point to the base. I'm assuming the top of the pole is unattached to anything.
This moment cause a compressive force along the front of the pole. With a wide, thin-walled pole the most likely failure will be by buckling. The calculations for buckling are difficult and often not possible to solve analytically - normally FEA would be used instead.
This is compounded by the second load on the pole. The moment is conveyed to the pole via the attachment bracket, pulling on the top of the bracket and pushing at the bottom. This means we have a (large) compressive force applied to the front of the pole at the bottom of the bracket - at the point that is already under compression due to the moment. This compressive force would eventually cause failure by buckling the pole at this point.
So the attachment to the pole will fail by causing the pole to buckle under the bottom of the bracket. Calculating the force to do this is very difficult (probably requires FEA) and depends on the precise details of the pole and the bracket itself.
3 Pole attachment to base
The calculation is exactly as for 1 - $M$ must be counteracted by forces in the attachment spread over the base width $x$ of the attachment.
Conclusion
It's going to be difficult (but certainly not impossible) to make the attachments strong enough, due to $L$ being much bigger than $x$, and $W$ being large. Having said that, decent bolts should be plenty strong enough.
The thing that'll be difficult to calculate is the weight required to caused buckling of the pole. Since buckling is a sudden failure (switching from one stability mode to another), you won't get much warning of this before failure, so it's difficult to predict just from suck-it-and-see (i.e. it'll be fine, right up to the point where it smashes through your desk).
If I were going to try this I'd probably try to get an identical pole & bracket and test to destruction. Much more fun, too! Failing that, you might get somewhere by seeing how steady it looks with the monitor not extended too far... (though watch out for sudden failure as above!).
You can mitigate the buckling effect by:
- Making the bracket wider, to spread the load on the pole
- Adding a sleeve to the pole under the bracket (i.e. make the pole stringer and stiffer)
- Fill the pole with something strong under compression (eg concrete) that will help to prevent the pole buckling inwards
UPDATE
I've just looked in a bit more detail at the picture of the bracket itself, and I've realised that's another weak point ...! The bracket appears to be made of a few fairly thin sheets of metal, joined by small bolts (in sliding joints). This isn't designed to carry a large moment (monitor on long arm). I'd expect the sliding joints to slide, and wouldn't be surprised if the bracket itself were to buckle and collapse. Also the height of the bracket is quite small, meaning the forces applied to the pole (to transmit the moment) are large.
Given that, my next recommendation would be to build a new bracket! You've talked about welding some pieces together already, so I'm guessing this should be possible for you. Design a new bracket that is explicitly designed to carry a large moment, and to attach to the specific arm that you have.
Maybe something like:
- Foot-long tube that fits snugly around the pole
- Foot-long plate, with mounting holes for the arm, welded the full length to the tube (I guess this would be slightly easier to use a C-section to fit more easily to the tube?)
- If you want to be able to change the height, drill a couple of holes in the tube and screw bolts through to press against the pole. Put these at 90$^o$ to the arm mounting.
- This should work better, but if the pole itself is too weak it may still fail.
Hope this helps. Key thing with all this waffle from me is it's just some general ideas without knowing the full details of the system. I may be being pessimistic about the properties of the system, but without seeing the thing for real it's impossible to say. I just hope I've given you some appropriate things to consider.