# With estimates of mass constraints on magnetic monopoles, how likely is one to be found by the LHC(MoEDAL)?

Fermilab seems to have ruled out monopoles with mass less than 850 GeV, but I have seen some estimates of the mass thought to be in the order of up to $10^{18}$ GeV, which, of course, would make them undetectable in any accelerators. By 2013, the LHC is scheduled to reach up to 14 TeV. The only disputed sighting of a cosmic ray produced magnetic monopole was in 1982 when Blas Cabrera reported discovering one (Valentine event monopole). This has never been duplicated. CERN has set up the Monopole and Exotics Detector MOEDAL. Other experiments set up to detect them are the Antarctic Impulsive Transient Antenna--ANITA, and the Antarctic Muon And Neutrino Detection Array, aka AMANDA. While both of these detected neutrinos, neither detected magnetic monopoles (looking for Cerenkov radiation produced by products of monopole interaction). Another method of detection is to look for induced current in a superconducting ring when a monopole passes through. Joseph Polchinski called the existence of monopoles “one of the safest bets that one can make about physics not yet seen.” This shows some optimism on his part that one will be seen. Is there any reason or way to limit the mass of the monopole on the upside to 14 TEV or less?

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@David--this was more of a comment and hopeful thinking than a question and I would like to delete it. How do I do that? When I move the cursor over the "delete" option, it says "vote to delete" which seems to indicate that that option requires more votes. If you agree that this is a comment, go ahead and delete it or tell me how to do it. Thanks. –  Gordon Feb 24 '11 at 2:39
Directly experimentally, the lower bound on the mass is just 500 GeV or so, but when some theory is wisely added, the mass is pretty much required to be exponentially higher than the TeV scale. In particular, some kind of unification seems necessary to allow the magnetic monopoles, and unification such as GUT can only appear at very high scales, such as the GUT scale of $10^{16}$ GeV: that's where the electromagnetic $U(1)$ may be embedded in a larger group that allows a topologically nontrivial solution (the $SU(2)$ of the weak interactions is not enough - it doesn't contain the hypercharge which has to be twisted as well). So it's unlikely that direct detection succeeds. Inflation has probably diluted the concentration of those massive magnetic monopoles to a very tiny number.
--yup, I know most of that, hence the comment above to David. Even the ultra high energy cosmic rays we have been able to detect have "only" reached $10^{19}$ to $10^{20}$ev. Even if a stray one of those collided with something, and the products luckily went through a superconducting ring detector, it wouldn't produce a monopole at the GUT scale. I guess we will have to be satisfied with spin ice "sort of" magnetic monopoles. I suspected there was no real cap on the monopole mass, and should have axed the question, but your answer is fine, so you can have it :) –  Gordon Feb 24 '11 at 7:27