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I read at http://www.statlect.com/fundamentals-of-probability/random-variables that

A random variable is a variable whose value depends on the outcome of a probabilistic experiment. Its value is a priori unknown, but it becomes known once the outcome of the experiment is realized.

That sounds to me like the definition of an observable in quantum mechanics modeled by hermitian operators. In addition it seems to me what statisticians call realization of a random value is what physicists call eigenvalue of a hermitian operator. The set of realizations of a random variable would then be the spectrum (set of eigenvalues) of an operator. So could I tell a statistician that a "random variable" is in fact an operator?

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  • $\begingroup$ There is a non-commutative generalization of classical probability, where "real-valued quantum random variables correspond to self-adjoint operators" in a von Neumann algebra. encyclopediaofmath.org/index.php/… But you would be hard pressed to find a statistician who would call operators random variables. $\endgroup$
    – Conifold
    Jan 31, 2016 at 23:19
  • $\begingroup$ Probabilistic experiments are exactly repeatable, quantum measurements are not. Probabilistic experiments allow measurements of all properties of distributions at the same time, quantum measurements do not. The comparison falls apart at the seams right there. It gets worse when you get to central limits, which simply don't exist in quantum mechanics. $\endgroup$
    – CuriousOne
    Feb 1, 2016 at 1:06
  • $\begingroup$ Apparently, there is even such a thing as quantum statistics and quantum Central Limit Theorem. arxiv.org/abs/quant-ph/0608198 $\endgroup$
    – Conifold
    Feb 1, 2016 at 2:20
  • $\begingroup$ In addition to the page suggested by @Conifold , you might want to look at plato.stanford.edu/entries/qt-quantlog Also, arxiv.org/abs/1402.6562 gives a detailed review. And it seems to me you're thinking more-or-less along the lines of what's now called "test spaces", e.g., arxiv.org/abs/quant-ph/0405178 (originally called "manuals of operations" when developed by Foulis&Randall in the early 1970's). $\endgroup$
    – user89220
    Feb 1, 2016 at 2:57
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    $\begingroup$ See this question and in particular the excellent answer by ValterMoretti for why the quantum notion of "probability" is not that of random variables. Read Tao's post more carefully, and you will see that he says that it is precisely giving up the notions of a test space and probability measure that are foundational for the standard theory of random variables that gives the non-commutative algebras of quantum mechanics. $\endgroup$
    – ACuriousMind
    Feb 1, 2016 at 22:53

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Random variables satisfy the Kolmogorov axioms for probability; quantum observables do not. In particular, any four-tuple of binary random variables (with any joint distribution) satisfies Bell's Inequality, while there are four-tuples of quantum observables that don't.

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  • $\begingroup$ That is interesting. Can you put your statement about four tuples of binary random variables into a mathematical form? $\endgroup$
    – asmaier
    Feb 1, 2016 at 20:18
  • $\begingroup$ @WillO , can you tell me a citation for where I could find more information? I have the same question the previous commentor $\endgroup$ May 11, 2020 at 11:10
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    $\begingroup$ @MichaelLevy: I'm not sure what your technical background is, so not sure what citation would be most useful for you. But if you Google for Bell's Theorem, you will find a ton of sources, and I expect you'll find one that's written in language you're comfortable with. $\endgroup$
    – WillO
    May 11, 2020 at 15:46
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An observable in quantum mechanics is an operator (say $\widehat{\mathcal{O}}$) on the Hilbert space (Say $\mathcal{H}$) of physical states, such that eigenkets in (say $\widehat{\mathcal{O}}$) in $\mathcal{H}$ span $\mathcal{H}$. The eigenvalues of $\widehat{\mathcal{O}}$ are then the observable values of some classical variable $\mathcal{O}$, even though classical mechanics might predict a more inclusive set of allowed values. A finite-dimensional matrix only has finitely many eigenvalues. Finding the eigenvalues (of which there may be infinitely many) of $\widehat{\mathcal{O}}$ is in general a more difficult problem, often solved with Sturm-Liouville theory.

But there's a lot more to quantum observables than just being a random variable with a distribution over whatever support such an analysis predicts. (Note that the physical state determines the distribution.) A key point often overlooked is that "classical probability" obeys somewhat different axioms from those of quantum probability; the latter allows "interference". For an introduction to the difference between these two kinds of probability, see here. Statisticians almost always concern themselves with classical probability. Classical probability emerges in the many-particle limit, but I think that's beyond the scope of that paper.

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What you say is quite reasonable. At the risk of being slightly more pedantic, I would say that physical observables are only those random variables that are Hermitean. Any operator (Hermitean or not) is a random variable -- in quantum mechanics these might be various properties of a particular state like spin, energy, etc. In quantum field theory, the random variables are the field values at each point in spacetime (there exist formalisms where those are treated as operators, though there are other formalisms too).


To some extent, this is a matter of semantics: what does one mean by a random variable? To me, the term does not carry the connotation of classical probability -- a random variable is just something that can spit out different numbers under different observations. Whether those observations form an ensemble of realizations, or successive measurements in time, is a matter of details: whether your system is ergodic, etc. And sure, classical random variables might behave differently from quantum random variables -- that's like saying that mixed states are different from pure states.

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    $\begingroup$ One significant difference arises when we consider quantum measurement. In a (isolated) quantum system, once the measurement is made, all further measurements of that property (assuming no intervening measurements of some other property) are deterministic, in fact, identical. In a classical random variable, further measurements will provide random results. There are senses in which the two are similar, but enough differences that I wouldn't say that they are the same. I wouldn't tell a statistician that his variable is an operator. He uses a different mathematical framework. $\endgroup$
    – garyp
    Jan 31, 2016 at 23:04
  • $\begingroup$ I think your statement applies only for the energy operator since it is the generator of time evolution. Eg: Suppose you measure the X-directional spin of a system and "collapse" it into the spin-X-up eigenstate, then further time evolution could change the spin of the particle if, for example it was subjected to a magnetic field in the Z-direction. A second measurement could then give spin-X-up or spin-X-down with some respective probabilities. In essence, if a random variable evolves in time classically, then it does the same quantum mechanically. $\endgroup$
    – Siva
    Jan 31, 2016 at 23:11
  • $\begingroup$ @Siva: In quantum mechanics I can reverse the dynamics of a spin system by giving it a 180 degree pulse. There is no equivalent phenomenon for probabilistic variables. $\endgroup$
    – CuriousOne
    Feb 1, 2016 at 1:47
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An observable in quantum mechanics is a measurable quantity in an experiment or observation. A postulate for building the mathematical theory of quantum mechanics is that

2.With every physical observable q there is associated an operator Q, which when operating upon the wavefunction associated with a definite value of that observable will yield that value times the wavefunction.

The postulates can be found in the second page in this link.

These postulates are in the foundations of building up mathematical theories of quantum mechanics , all of them, from Hilbert spaces to quantum field theory.

It is simpler when talking of probabilities of getting a value of an observable to discuss it in the original wave function framework of probabilities. A single measurements picks up an instant from the predicted by the theory probability distribution. This is the same as with the statistical mechanics probability distributions.

Where the two diverge are on the mathematics behind them. For random variables one has Gaussian, or Poisson or ...distributions that are an average over dynamical functions derivable from classical mechanics, for example, with a few assumptions on the way the sample under study behaves.

For quantum mechanics the probabilities are the dynamical functions determined from first principles. There exist no further internal dynamics that generate the probability distributions.

Thus statistical probabilities with assumptions of randomness cannot be equivalent with probabilities determined dynamically.

The set of realizations of a random variable would then be the spectrum (set of eigenvalues) of an operator.

One would have to define the mathematical space on which this operator would work, giving the continuum you call "spectrum".

So could I tell a statistician that a "random variable" is in fact an operator?

Statistical mechanics is a meta level on classical mechanics. Quantum mechanics is the first level , no underlying structure deterministic or not, has been discovered.

In addition, it is not the variable that is an operator, the value of the variable instance of a variable, measurment, is an entry in the probability distribution .

You could say an "operator will give me the measurement of temperature in this sample", but there is no mathematical theory of operators that will act on the collective sample , for example a "temperature operator" to give the probable temperature on a specific thermometer measurement.

Probabilities in quantum mechanics are predictive because they are not uniform, giving discrete spectra.

So the analogy does not hold.

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